o 3-Year Contract o May 2021-May 2024 • Article 9.1.A. General Wage Increases o 1.3% November 2021-retroactively applied o 1.3% November 2022 o 1.3% November 2023 • Article 9.1.E. COLA o Retain same formula and frequency o July 2021-retroactive ($1935) o Jan 2022-retroactive ($811 calculated through 11-30-21) o July 2022 o Jan 20234. Part-time flexible rural carriers appointed as rural car-rier associates on or after November 21, 2010 – The annual salary for a 40-hour evaluated route (Table Two) divided by 2,000. 5. Rural carrier associates and rural carrier relief employ-ees on the rolls prior to August 24, 1991 — See RCA/ RCR Schedules (Table Three) on page. 173. 6. Mar 15, 2021 · The 2019-2023 NALC-USPS National Agreement is now available online by clicking here. The PDF includes bookmarks and hyperlinks to make navigating the document easier. Printed copies will be available in the coming weeks. RSS Tweet. 2019-2023 NALC-USPS National Agreement. The 2019-2023 NALC-USPS National Agreement is now available online by clicking here. The PDF includes bookmarks and hyperlinks to make navigating the document easier. Printed copies will be available in the coming weeks. RSS Tweet.NALC has obtained electronic versions of important USPS manuals and handbooks directly from Postal Service headquarters. In addition, USPS has made certain publications available online. However: Check for the latest issue. The Postal Service updates its various manuals and handbooks according to different schedules. National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association 2021 - 2024 The. NOTE TO MEMBERS: This special contract edition of the ... Contract Delivery Service Renewal Cycles ... Full-Time Basic Annual Rates Effective February 27, 2021 (PP 06-2021) RSC R3 (NRLCA) Most Prev. Step: 1,198NRLCA-USPS 2021-2024 Tentative Agreement Highlights. WEBSITE STATEMENT. COPYRIGHT© 2012 – 2019 NORTH CAROLINA RURAL LETTER CARRIERS’ ASSOCIATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. NOTICE: The information on this site may not be copied or reproduced without the express written consent of the NC RLCA State Board. Disclaimer.Jan 31, 2020 · Well-known member. Jan 31, 2020. #4. The NRLCA has been notified by USPS that all of the retroactive salary increases included in the 2018-2021 National Agreement will be delayed and are now to be included in the paychecks for PP06-2020 (March 20, 2020). This adjustment will include all eligible rural carriers and all retroactive salary changes ... Are you a member contributing to this? If not, click here click here Compensation for Additional Trips On June 2, 2023, the USPS and NRLCA agreed to modify two pre-arbitration settlements,specifically case #C95R-4C-C98023318, which involves compensation for rural carriers when required to perform anadditional trip to the street due tomail that could not beaccommodated on 08/25/2023. NRLCA National President Don Maston said in an interview Friday that the union had “gone to extreme measures” by repeatedly delaying the implementation of the Rural Route Evaluated Compensation System (RRECS). “I understand that they’re angry, those that have lost hours, and they’re angry at the system,” Maston said.Aug 19, 2021 · Most eligible city letter carriers will receive retroactive pay pursuant to the 2019-2023 National Agreement on their August 20 paychecks. Backpay for some former city carrier assistants that were converted to career status between November 23, 2019 and April 9, 2021 must be calculated manually, resulting in a delay in payment. Aug 12, 2021 · In accordance with the 2018-2021 Collective Bargaining Agreement, career employees represented by the APWU will receive a 93 cent per hour cost-of-living adjustment (COLA), effective August 28, 2021. The increase is the result of a rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI-W). It will appear in paychecks dated September 17, 2021 (Pay Period 19-2021).The value of the COLA for full-time employees in ... General Annual Wage Increases and Cost of Living Allowances (COLA) 1.3% November 20, 2021 (Will be Retroactive) 1.3% November 19, 2022. 1.3% November 18, 2023. Six (6) Cost of Living Allowances (COLA) for career employees (March and September of each year) with no change to the current formula based on the July 2021 CPI-W.Feb 10, 2019 · gotstamps said: There is no grievance unless Leave is granted in conjunction with the Holiday. Contract states that Mgmt may work a Carrier on their Holiday prior to using a Relief Day Carrier. When a holiday falls on the relief day of an evaluated car- rier, the carrier shall be granted the preceding work day as the designated holiday. NALC has obtained electronic versions of important USPS manuals and handbooks directly from Postal Service headquarters. In addition, USPS has made certain publications available online. However: Check for the latest issue. The Postal Service updates its various manuals and handbooks according to different schedules. Mar 8, 2021 · March 8, 2021 at 4 p.m. The USPS contract with the National Association of Letter Carriers covers more than 206,000 employees. The National Association of Letter Carriers (NALC) membership has ratified a new 44-month labor contract with the Postal Service. The contract covers approximately 206,000 employees represented by the union. As a result of the rise in index level, the following COLA adjustment will be applied to each step of the basic annual salary for all full-time employees covered under the 2021-2024 Collective Bargaining Agreement effective August 26, 2023 (pay period 19-2023, pay date September 15, 2023).Oct 30, 2022 · According to Article 9.1.A.2 of the National rural carrier contract, rural carriers will receive a basic wage increase on November 19th, 2022 of 1.3% of the appropriate February 27, 2021, salary schedule. Will rural carriers get it on time or will it be delayed like everything else due rural carriers? Jan 10, 2022 · NRLCA-USPS 2021-2024 Tentative Agreement Highlights. WEBSITE STATEMENT. COPYRIGHT© 2012 – 2019 NORTH CAROLINA RURAL LETTER CARRIERS’ ASSOCIATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. NOTICE: The information on this site may not be copied or reproduced without the express written consent of the NC RLCA State Board. Disclaimer. NRLCA-USPS 2021-2024 Tentative Agreement Highlights. WEBSITE STATEMENT. COPYRIGHT© 2012 – 2019 NORTH CAROLINA RURAL LETTER CARRIERS’ ASSOCIATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. NOTICE: The information on this site may not be copied or reproduced without the express written consent of the NC RLCA State Board. Disclaimer.Apr 11, 2022 · Well-known member. Apr 11, 2022. #8. gotstamps said: Actually, with the new pay schedule released as “effective February 2022, February is the cut off for the August 2021 & November 2021 Backpay calculation. The Backpay cutoff will be when they make current pay up to date. That could still be a paycheck or two away. The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association (NRLCA) expresses its deepest sympathies and condolences to the victims and communities affected by the devastating wildfires that have swept through Maui. Our thoughts are with those who have lost their homes, belongings, and loved ones in this tragic event.“The terms of the new Rural Carrier contract continue the trend of providing the Postal Service the tools necessary to meet customer needs and acknowledge our employees for their commitment and dedication.” The tentative agreement is subject to a ratification vote by the union membership, a process that will take 6-8 weeks.Aug 12, 2018. #9. According to our district sup no more than 6 days in a week; hence, off the first Saturday, work 6 straight; Work Sunday through Friday of second week, off Saturday. 12 days straight. So your answer is 12.Dec 8, 2021 · In some cases, carriers say the Postal Service owes them money because it hasn’t updated the time it takes to deliver mail on all rural routes since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, which caused a sharp spike in online shopping and a deluge of packages to deliver. Most rural carriers are paid by how many hours it usually takes to deliver ... DISTRICT #38 TO MEET. September 21 @ 6:00 pm - September 21 @ 9:00 pm Sep 21. Mecklenburg District #38 will hold its fall booster meeting on September 21, 2023, at River Buffet & Grill. Guest speakers are Elaine Althoff, NCRLCA Vice-President, and Cliff Workman, NRLCA ADR. […]The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association and the United States Postal Service have negotiated a Tentative Agreement to cover the 3-year period from May 21, 2021 to May 20, 2024. This Tentative Agreement must be ratified by a majority of the voting membership of the NRLCA to become effective.We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us.Pursuant to the release of the July 2023 Consumer Price Index - Urban Wage and Clerical Workers (CPI-W), and in accordance with Article 9.1.E , the fifth COLA adjustment of the 2021-2024 National Agreement will result in a $999.00 increase for eligible rural carriers. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us.We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us.January 7, 2022. The Postal Service and the National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association have reached a tentative negotiated agreement on a 36-month contract. Upon ratification by the union’s membership, a process that will take several weeks, the agreement will run through May 20, 2024. “This agreement is economically responsible, fair to ...We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. “Overall, this contract results in continued restraint of rural carrier labor costs while giving the parties the opportunity to focus on implementing new engineered work standards for rural carrier employees,” said Labor Relations Vice President Doug Tulino. The new agreement runs through May 20, 2021.New episode of You Are the Current Resident: The Delivery Operations Information System (DOIS) NALC President Brian L. Renfroe and Assistant to the President Ed Morgan discuss the Delivery Operations Information System (DOIS), a time-projection tool used in many locations by management to estimate the daily workload of city carriers. Aug 24, 2023. Mar 8, 2021 · March 8, 2021 at 4 p.m. The USPS contract with the National Association of Letter Carriers covers more than 206,000 employees. The National Association of Letter Carriers (NALC) membership has ratified a new 44-month labor contract with the Postal Service. The contract covers approximately 206,000 employees represented by the union. The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association membership has ratified a new three-year labor contract with the Postal Service. The contract covers more than 132,000 rural carriers represented by the union. Highlights of the agreement include annual general wage increases, semiannual cost-of-living adjustments, measures designed to stabilize ...Jan 10, 2022 · NRLCA-USPS 2021-2024 Tentative Agreement Highlights. WEBSITE STATEMENT. COPYRIGHT© 2012 – 2019 NORTH CAROLINA RURAL LETTER CARRIERS’ ASSOCIATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. NOTICE: The information on this site may not be copied or reproduced without the express written consent of the NC RLCA State Board. Disclaimer. rural office, I find that th e top of the Form 4240 is either completely blank or will only have the name and route of the rural carrier. Some uninformed managers think that they have the right to require rural carriers to schedule their annual leave early in the year or at any time the Christmas-weighted projections indicate a potential problem.Are you a member contributing to this? If not, click here click here Compensation for Additional Trips On June 2, 2023, the USPS and NRLCA agreed to modify two pre-arbitration settlements,specifically case #C95R-4C-C98023318, which involves compensation for rural carriers when required to perform anadditional trip to the street due tomail that could not beaccommodated onLetter Carrier Pay Schedule City Carrier Wage Schedule: Effective June 19, 2021 The following salary and rate schedule is for all NALC-represented employees. Table 1: City Carrier Schedule RSC Q (NALC) This schedule applies to all carriers with a career appointment date prior to Jan. 12, 2013. Basic Annual SalariesUSPS Phone numbers. Unscheduled Leave Number. 1-877-477-3273. USPS Emergency Hotline. 1-888-363-7462. Pay/Benefit Help. 1-877-477-3273. May 30, 2019 · The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association and the United States Postal Service have negotiated a Tentative Agreement to cover the 3-year period from May 21, 2018 to May 20, 2021. This Tentative Agreement must be ratified by a majority of the voting membership of the NRLCA to become effective. The highlights of the Tentative Agreement ... We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us.PSN 7610-01-000-9092 AGREEMENT between the United States Postal Service and the National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association 2015–2018 Handbook EL-902New episode of You Are the Current Resident: The Delivery Operations Information System (DOIS) NALC President Brian L. Renfroe and Assistant to the President Ed Morgan discuss the Delivery Operations Information System (DOIS), a time-projection tool used in many locations by management to estimate the daily workload of city carriers. Aug 24, 2023.The morale is so low”: Texas rural letter carrier speaks out on terrible working conditions, massive pay cuts; Lou Gotts on “It is beyond toxic. The morale is so low”: Texas rural letter carrier speaks out on terrible working conditions, massive pay cuts; Liz on New Scanner functions – 08/18/2023National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association 2021 - 2024 The. NOTE TO MEMBERS: This special contract edition of the ... Contract Delivery Service Renewal Cycles ... The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association and the United States Postal Service have negotiated a Tentative Agreement to cover the 3-year period from May 21, 2018 to May 20, 2021. This Tentative Agreement must be ratified by a majority of the voting membership of the NRLCA to become effective. The highlights of the Tentative Agreement ...When a PTF (part‐time flexible rural carrier) assignment is posted in accordance with Article 30.2.A.3, eligible substitute rural carriers and RCAs are simply bidding to be converted to a career status PTF. The specific route assignments are not to be included on the posting notice. The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association membership has ratified a new three-year labor contract with the Postal Service. The contract covers more than 132,000 rural carriers represented by the union. Highlights of the agreement include annual general wage increases, semiannual cost-of-living adjustments, measures designed to stabilize ...Carrier National Rural Letter Vol. 119, No. 3a Special Contract Edition 2020 NATIONAL AGREEMENT between the United States Postal Service and the National Rural LetterNRLCA releases full 2021-2024 National Contract. 06/30/2022. Subscribe. The Special Contract Edition of the National Rural Letter Carrier magazine containing the 2021-2024 National Agreement is now available for viewing and downloading. It will also be mailed to all active bargaining unit members.Are you a member contributing to this? If not, click here click here Compensation for Additional Trips On June 2, 2023, the USPS and NRLCA agreed to modify two pre-arbitration settlements,specifically case #C95R-4C-C98023318, which involves compensation for rural carriers when required to perform anadditional trip to the street due tomail that could not beaccommodated onAre you a member contributing to this? If not, click here click here Compensation for Additional Trips On June 2, 2023, the USPS and NRLCA agreed to modify two pre-arbitration settlements,specifically case #C95R-4C-C98023318, which involves compensation for rural carriers when required to perform anadditional trip to the street due tomail that could not beaccommodated onNRLCA-USPS 2021-2024 Tentative Agreement Highlights. WEBSITE STATEMENT. COPYRIGHT© 2012 – 2019 NORTH CAROLINA RURAL LETTER CARRIERS’ ASSOCIATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. NOTICE: The information on this site may not be copied or reproduced without the express written consent of the NC RLCA State Board. Disclaimer.According to Article 9.1.A.2 of the National rural carrier contract, rural carriers will receive a basic wage increase on November 19th, 2022 of 1.3% of the appropriate February 27, 2021, salary schedule. Will rural carriers get it on time or will it be delayed like everything else due rural carriers?We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. Pursuant to the release of the July 2023 Consumer Price Index - Urban Wage and Clerical Workers (CPI-W), and in accordance with Article 9.1.E , the fifth COLA adjustment of the 2021-2024 National Agreement will result in a $999.00 increase for eligible rural carriers. Feb 26, 2022 · Based on the July 2023 CPI-W (1982-84) of 299.899, the 2024 CSRS and FERS COLAs are currently projected to be 2.7%. The 2024 retiree COLA calculation will be finalized in October 2023 with the release of the CPI-W for September 2023. CSRS annuities receive full COLAs; COLAs for FERS annuities are payable for retirees 62 and older and may be ... ost eligible city letter carriers will receive retroactive pay pursuant to the 2019-2023 National Agreement in their Aug. 20 paychecks. Back pay for some former city carrier assistants (CCAs) who were converted to career status between Nov. 23, 2019, and April 9, 2021, must be calculated manually, resulting in a delay in payment. This issue was ...Oct 15, 2021 · Nov 10, 2021. #16. gotstamps said: In that case, Thursday would be the Christmas Holiday since it is the preceding workday and would pay at 150%. Christmas Eve would remain their Relief Day or if they work it would also pay 150%. So Sat 12/18, 12/20, 12/21, & 12/22 would be 100% pay & 12/23 & 12/24 would both be 150%. The new contract says rural carriers will be getting 1.3% general wage increase for each year of the agreement. How is this true if all 3 years you want to give us $792 each year? 79. Did the Union propose Thri Savings Plan participation for RCAs with matching funds from USPS? 81.2016-2019 NALC-USPS National Agreement. The 2016-2019 NALC-USPS National Agreement is now available online by clicking here. The PDF includes bookmarks and hyperlinks to make navigating the document easier. Printed copies will be available in the coming weeks.The morale is so low”: Texas rural letter carrier speaks out on terrible working conditions, massive pay cuts; Lou Gotts on “It is beyond toxic. The morale is so low”: Texas rural letter carrier speaks out on terrible working conditions, massive pay cuts; Liz on New Scanner functions – 08/18/2023 Jun 30, 2022 · NRLCA releases full 2021-2024 National Contract 06/30/2022 Subscribe The Special Contract Edition of the National Rural Letter Carrier magazine containing the 2021-2024 National Agreement is now available for viewing and downloading. It will also be mailed to all active bargaining unit members. Disclaimer Are you a member contributing to this? If not, click here click here Compensation for Additional Trips On June 2, 2023, the USPS and NRLCA agreed to modify two pre-arbitration settlements,specifically case #C95R-4C-C98023318, which involves compensation for rural carriers when required to perform anadditional trip to the street due tomail that could not beaccommodated on Mar 18, 2022 · March 17, 2022 The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association membership has ratified a new three-year labor contract with the Postal Service. The contract covers more than 132,000 rural carriers represented by the union. Highlights of the agreement include annual general wage increases, semiannual cost-of-living adjustments, measures designed to stabilize work schedules, increased ... Full-Time Basic Annual Rates Effective February 27, 2021 (PP 06-2021) RSC R3 (NRLCA) Most Prev. Step: 1,198 USPS Phone numbers. Unscheduled Leave Number. 1-877-477-3273. USPS Emergency Hotline. 1-888-363-7462. Pay/Benefit Help. 1-877-477-3273. The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association membership has ratified a new three-year labor contract with the Postal Service. The contract covers more than 132,000 rural carriers represented by the union. Highlights of the agreement include annual general wage increases, semiannual cost-of-living adjustments, measures designed to stabilize ...Rural Carrier Duties and Responsibilities Transmittal Letter Handbook PO-603 ... 0.00 star(s) Updated: Dec 16, 2022; 2021 - 2024 National Contract. The contract ...The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association and the United States Postal Service have negotiated a Tentative Agreement to cover the 3-year period from May 21, 2018 to May 20, 2021. This Tentative Agreement must be ratified by a majority of the voting membership of the NRLCA to become effective. The highlights of the Tentative Agreement ...New episode of You Are the Current Resident: The Delivery Operations Information System (DOIS) NALC President Brian L. Renfroe and Assistant to the President Ed Morgan discuss the Delivery Operations Information System (DOIS), a time-projection tool used in many locations by management to estimate the daily workload of city carriers. Aug 24, 2023.Nov 10, 2021. #16. gotstamps said: In that case, Thursday would be the Christmas Holiday since it is the preceding workday and would pay at 150%. Christmas Eve would remain their Relief Day or if they work it would also pay 150%. So Sat 12/18, 12/20, 12/21, & 12/22 would be 100% pay & 12/23 & 12/24 would both be 150%.4. Part-time flexible rural carriers appointed as rural car-rier associates on or after November 21, 2010 – The annual salary for a 40-hour evaluated route (Table Two) divided by 2,000. 5. Rural carrier associates and rural carrier relief employ-ees on the rolls prior to August 24, 1991 — See RCA/ RCR Schedules (Table Three) on page. 173. 6. Aug 12, 2021 · In accordance with the 2018-2021 Collective Bargaining Agreement, career employees represented by the APWU will receive a 93 cent per hour cost-of-living adjustment (COLA), effective August 28, 2021. The increase is the result of a rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI-W). It will appear in paychecks dated September 17, 2021 (Pay Period 19-2021).The value of the COLA for full-time employees in ... o 3-Year Contract o May 2021-May 2024 • Article 9.1.A. General Wage Increases o 1.3% November 2021-retroactively applied o 1.3% November 2022 o 1.3% November 2023 • Article 9.1.E. COLA o Retain same formula and frequency o July 2021-retroactive ($1935) o Jan 2022-retroactive ($811 calculated through 11-30-21) o July 2022 o Jan 2023 Oct 15, 2021 · Nov 10, 2021. #16. gotstamps said: In that case, Thursday would be the Christmas Holiday since it is the preceding workday and would pay at 150%. Christmas Eve would remain their Relief Day or if they work it would also pay 150%. So Sat 12/18, 12/20, 12/21, & 12/22 would be 100% pay & 12/23 & 12/24 would both be 150%.
Updated Rural Carrier Salary Charts Released. The salary schedules below reflect a retroactive $1,935 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) effective August 28, 2021, a retroactive 1.3% General Wage Increase (GWI) effective November 20, 2021, and a $1,311 COLA effective February 26, 2022. The PTF hourly rates reflect the recalculation due to the .... Omni man that
The basic requirements as applied to rural carriers, are as follows: 1. Employee shall be employed on an annual basis at a guaranteed annual wage. 2. The guarantee must be a minimum of 1840 and a maximum of 2080 hours. 3.Apr 11, 2022 · Updated Rural Carrier Salary Charts Released. The salary schedules below reflect a retroactive $1,935 cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) effective August 28, 2021, a retroactive 1.3% General Wage Increase (GWI) effective November 20, 2021, and a $1,311 COLA effective February 26, 2022. The PTF hourly rates reflect the recalculation due to the ... 2019-2023 NALC-USPS National Agreement. The 2019-2023 NALC-USPS National Agreement is now available online by clicking here. The PDF includes bookmarks and hyperlinks to make navigating the document easier. Printed copies will be available in the coming weeks. RSS Tweet.Follow the step-by-step instructions below to design your NRL contract PDF: Select the document you want to sign and click Upload. Choose My Signature. Decide on what kind of signature to create. There are three variants; a typed, drawn or uploaded signature. Create your signature and click Ok. Press Done. National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association 2021 - 2024 The. NOTE TO MEMBERS: This special contract edition of the ... Contract Delivery Service Renewal Cycles ... As a result of the rise in index level, the following COLA adjustment will be applied to each step of the basic annual salary for all full-time employees covered under the 2021-2024 Collective Bargaining Agreement effective August 26, 2023 (pay period 19-2023, pay date September 15, 2023).Oct 30, 2022 · According to Article 9.1.A.2 of the National rural carrier contract, rural carriers will receive a basic wage increase on November 19th, 2022 of 1.3% of the appropriate February 27, 2021, salary schedule. Will rural carriers get it on time or will it be delayed like everything else due rural carriers? USPS News Link – 8/6/19 – The National Rural Letter Carriers’ Association ( NRLCA) membership has ratified a new three-year labor contract with the Postal Service. The contract covers approximately 131,000 employees represented by the union. Highlights of the agreement include annual general wage increases, a reduction in the employer ...o 3-Year Contract o May 2021-May 2024 • Article 9.1.A. General Wage Increases o 1.3% November 2021-retroactively applied o 1.3% November 2022 o 1.3% November 2023 • Article 9.1.E. COLA o Retain same formula and frequency o July 2021-retroactive ($1935) o Jan 2022-retroactive ($811 calculated through 11-30-21) o July 2022 o Jan 2023Washington Rural Carrier — Winter 2022 4 Tentative Agreement 2021-2024 • Article 38 o 3-Year Contract o May 2021-May 2024 • Article 9.1.A. General Wage Increases o 1.3% November 2021-retroactively applied o 1.3% November 2022 o 1.3% November 2023 • Article 9.1.E. COLA o Retain same formula and frequency NRLCA-USPS 2021-2024 Tentative Agreement Highlights. WEBSITE STATEMENT. COPYRIGHT© 2012 – 2019 NORTH CAROLINA RURAL LETTER CARRIERS’ ASSOCIATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. NOTICE: The information on this site may not be copied or reproduced without the express written consent of the NC RLCA State Board. Disclaimer.ost eligible city letter carriers will receive retroactive pay pursuant to the 2019-2023 National Agreement in their Aug. 20 paychecks. Back pay for some former city carrier assistants (CCAs) who were converted to career status between Nov. 23, 2019, and April 9, 2021, must be calculated manually, resulting in a delay in payment. This issue was ... rural office, I find that th e top of the Form 4240 is either completely blank or will only have the name and route of the rural carrier. Some uninformed managers think that they have the right to require rural carriers to schedule their annual leave early in the year or at any time the Christmas-weighted projections indicate a potential problem..
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